| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w28699 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 28699 |
| The Impact of Domestic Travel Bans on COVID-19 is Nonlinear in Their Duration | |
| Fiona Burlig; Anant Sudarshan; Garrison Schlauch | |
| 发表日期 | 2021-04-26 |
| 出版年 | 2021 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Domestic mobility restrictions to control the spread of COVID-19 are widespread in developing countries, and have trapped millions of migrant workers in hotspot cities. We show that bans can increase cumulative infections relative to a counterfactual sans restrictions. A SEIR model shows bans’ impacts are nonlinear in duration. We empirically test this hypothesis using a natural experiment in India as well as data from China, Indonesia, the Philippines, South Africa, and Kenya. Although very short and long restrictions limit the spread of disease, moderately lengthy restrictions substantially increase infections. This underscores the importance of considering duration in mobility-restricting policy decisions in developing countries. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration ; Development and Growth ; Development ; COVID-19 |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28699 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586372 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Fiona Burlig,Anant Sudarshan,Garrison Schlauch. The Impact of Domestic Travel Bans on COVID-19 is Nonlinear in Their Duration. 2021. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w28699.pdf（514KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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