| 来源类型 | Working Paper
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| 规范类型 | 报告
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| DOI | 10.3386/w28760
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| 来源ID | Working Paper 28760
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| Behavior and the Dynamics of Epidemics |
| Andrew Atkeson
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| 发表日期 | 2021-05-10
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| 出版年 | 2021
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | I use a model of private and public behavior to mitigate disease transmission during the COVID pandemic over the past year in the United States to address two questions: What dynamics of infections and deaths should we expect to see from a pandemic? What are our options for mitigating the impact of a pandemic on public health? I find that behavior turns what would be a short and extremely sharp epidemic into a long, drawn out one. Absent the development of a technological solution such as vaccines or life-saving therapeutics, additional public health interventions suffer from rapidly diminishing returns in improving long-run outcomes. In contrast, rapidly implemented non-pharmaceutical interventions, in combination with the rapid development of technological solutions, could have saved nearly 300,000 lives relative to what is now projected to occur. |
| 主题 | Econometrics
; Health, Education, and Welfare
; COVID-19
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| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28760
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| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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| 引用统计 |
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586434
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Andrew Atkeson. Behavior and the Dynamics of Epidemics. 2021.
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文件名：
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w28760.pdf
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格式：
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Adobe PDF
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