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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w28771
来源IDWorking Paper 28771
A Congestion Theory of Unemployment Fluctuations
Yusuf Mercan; Benjamin Schoefer; Petr Sedláček
发表日期2021-05-10
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要We propose a theory of unemployment fluctuations in which new-hires and incumbent-workers are imperfect substitutes. Hence, attempts to hire away the unemployed during recessions diminish the marginal product of new hires, discouraging job creation. This single feature achieves a ten-fold increase in the volatility of hiring in an otherwise standard search model, produces a realistic Beveridge curve despite countercyclical separations, and explains 30–40% of US unemployment fluctuations. Additionally, it explains the excess procyclicality of new hires’ wages, the cyclical labor wedge, countercyclical earnings losses from job displacement, and the limited steady-state effects of unemployment insurance.
主题Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand ; Unemployment and Immigration
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w28771
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586445
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Yusuf Mercan,Benjamin Schoefer,Petr Sedláček. A Congestion Theory of Unemployment Fluctuations. 2021.
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