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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w28795 |
来源ID | Working Paper 28795 |
The Macroeconomic Effects of a Carbon Tax to Meet the U.S. Paris Agreement Target: The Role of Firm Creation and Technology Adoption | |
Alan Finkelstein Shapiro; Gilbert E. Metcalf | |
发表日期 | 2021-05-17 |
出版年 | 2021 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We analyze the quantitative labor market and aggregate effects of a carbon tax in a framework with pollution externalities and equilibrium unemployment. Our model incorporates endogenous labor force participation and two margins of adjustment influenced by carbon taxes: (1) firm creation and (2) green production-technology adoption. A carbon-tax policy that reduces carbon emissions by 35 percent – roughly the emissions reductions that will be required under the Biden Administration's new commitment under the Paris Agreement – and transfers the tax revenue to households generates mild positive long-run effects on consumption and output; a marginal increase in the unemployment and labor force participation rates; and an expansion in the number and fraction of firms that use green technologies. In the short term, the adjustment to higher carbon taxes is accompanied by gradual gains in output and consumption and a negligible expansion in unemployment. Critically, abstracting from endogenous firm entry and green-technology adoption implies that the same policy has substantial adverse short- and long-term effects on labor income, consumption, and output. Our findings highlight the importance of these margins for a comprehensive assessment of the labor market and aggregate effects of carbon taxes. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Fiscal Policy ; Public Economics ; Taxation ; Development and Growth ; Innovation and R& ; D ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Environment |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28795 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586467 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Alan Finkelstein Shapiro,Gilbert E. Metcalf. The Macroeconomic Effects of a Carbon Tax to Meet the U.S. Paris Agreement Target: The Role of Firm Creation and Technology Adoption. 2021. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w28795.pdf(506KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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