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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w28827
来源IDWorking Paper 28827
Stock Market Spillovers via the Global Production Network: Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy
Julian di Giovanni; Galina Hale
发表日期2021-05-24
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要We quantify the role of global production linkages in explaining spillovers of U.S. monetary policy shocks to stock returns across countries and sectors using a newly constructed dataset. Our estimation strategy is based on a standard open-economy production network model that delivers a spillover pattern consistent with a spatial autoregression (SAR) process. We use the SAR model to decompose the overall impact of U.S. monetary policy on global stock returns into a direct and a network effect. We find that nearly 70% of the total impact of U.S. monetary policy shocks on country-sector stock returns are due to the network effect of global production linkages. Empirical counterfactuals show that shutting down global production linkages would reduce the total global impact of U.S. monetary policy shocks by half. Our results are robust to changes in the definitions of stock returns and monetary policy shocks, to controlling for correlates of the global financial cycle, foreign monetary policy shocks, and to alternative empirical specifications.
主题International Economics ; Trade ; International Finance ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w28827
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586501
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Julian di Giovanni,Galina Hale. Stock Market Spillovers via the Global Production Network: Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy. 2021.
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