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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w28827 |
来源ID | Working Paper 28827 |
Stock Market Spillovers via the Global Production Network: Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy | |
Julian di Giovanni; Galina Hale | |
发表日期 | 2021-05-24 |
出版年 | 2021 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We quantify the role of global production linkages in explaining spillovers of U.S. monetary policy shocks to stock returns across countries and sectors using a newly constructed dataset. Our estimation strategy is based on a standard open-economy production network model that delivers a spillover pattern consistent with a spatial autoregression (SAR) process. We use the SAR model to decompose the overall impact of U.S. monetary policy on global stock returns into a direct and a network effect. We find that nearly 70% of the total impact of U.S. monetary policy shocks on country-sector stock returns are due to the network effect of global production linkages. Empirical counterfactuals show that shutting down global production linkages would reduce the total global impact of U.S. monetary policy shocks by half. Our results are robust to changes in the definitions of stock returns and monetary policy shocks, to controlling for correlates of the global financial cycle, foreign monetary policy shocks, and to alternative empirical specifications. |
主题 | International Economics ; Trade ; International Finance ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28827 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586501 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Julian di Giovanni,Galina Hale. Stock Market Spillovers via the Global Production Network: Transmission of U.S. Monetary Policy. 2021. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w28827.pdf(1456KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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