| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w28904 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 28904 |
| Trade Policy is Real News: Theory and Evidence | |
| George A. Alessandria; Carter B. Mix | |
| 发表日期 | 2021-06-14 |
| 出版年 | 2021 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We evaluate the aggregate effects of changes in trade barriers when these changes can be implemented slowly over time and trade responds gradually to changes in trade barriers because firm-level trade costs make exporting a dynamic decision. Our model shows how expectations of changes in trade barriers affect the economy. We find that while decreases in trade barriers increase economic activity, expectations of lower future trade barriers temporarily decrease investment, hours worked, and output. Further-more, canceling an expected decline in future trade barriers raises investment and output in the short run but substantially lowers medium-run growth. These effects are larger when the expected reform is bigger. In the data, we find that countries with more trade growth after the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) rounds decreased investment and hours worked in the years leading to the tariff cuts, as predicted by our model. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; International Economics ; Trade ; International Macroeconomics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28904 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586578 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | George A. Alessandria,Carter B. Mix. Trade Policy is Real News: Theory and Evidence. 2021. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w28904.pdf（985KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
