| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w28925 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 28925 |
| The Intergenerational Mortality Tradeoff of COVID-19 Lockdown Policies | |
| Lin Ma; Gil Shapira; Damien de Walque; Quy-Toan Do; Jed Friedman; Andrei A. Levchenko | |
| 发表日期 | 2021-06-21 |
| 出版年 | 2021 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | In lower-income countries, the economic contractions that accompany lockdowns to contain the spread of COVID-19 can increase child mortality, counteracting the mortality reductions achieved by the lockdown. To formalize and quantify this effect, we build a macro-susceptible-infected-recovered model that features heterogeneous agents and a country-group-specific relationship between economic downturns and child mortality, and calibrate it to data for 85 countries across all income levels. We find that in low-income countries, a lockdown can potentially lead to 1.76 children's lives lost due to the economic contraction per COVID-19 fatality averted. The ratio stands at 0.59 and 0.06 in lower-middle and upper-middle income countries, respectively. As a result, in some countries lockdowns can actually produce net increases in mortality. In contrast, the optimal lockdown that maximizes the present value of aggregate social welfare is shorter and milder in poorer countries than in rich ones, and never produces a net mortality increase. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; COVID-19 |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28925 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586599 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Lin Ma,Gil Shapira,Damien de Walque,et al. The Intergenerational Mortality Tradeoff of COVID-19 Lockdown Policies. 2021. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w28925.pdf（1025KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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