| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w28930 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 28930 |
| The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Policy Responses on Excess Mortality | |
| Virat Agrawal; Jonathan H. Cantor; Neeraj Sood; Christopher M. Whaley | |
| 发表日期 | 2021-06-21 |
| 出版年 | 2021 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | As a way of slowing COVID-19 transmission, many countries and U.S. states implemented shelter-in-place (SIP) policies. However, the effects of SIP policies on public health are a priori ambiguous as they might have unintended adverse effects on health. The effect of SIP policies on COVID-19 transmission and physical mobility is mixed. To understand the net effects of SIP policies, we measure the change in excess deaths following the implementation of SIP policies in 43 countries and all U.S. states. We use an event study framework to quantify changes in the number of excess deaths after the implementation of a SIP policy. We find that following the implementation of SIP policies, excess mortality increases. The increase in excess mortality is statistically significant in the immediate weeks following SIP implementation for the international comparison only and occurs despite the fact that there was a decline in the number of excess deaths prior to the implementation of the policy. At the U.S. state-level, excess mortality increases in the immediate weeks following SIP introduction and then trends below zero following 20 weeks of SIP implementation. We failed to find that countries or U.S. states that implemented SIP policies earlier, and in which SIP policies had longer to operate, had lower excess deaths than countries/U.S. states that were slower to implement SIP policies. We also failed to observe differences in excess death trends before and after the implementation of SIP policies based on pre-SIP COVID-19 death rates. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Education ; COVID-19 |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28930 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586604 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Virat Agrawal,Jonathan H. Cantor,Neeraj Sood,et al. The Impact of the COVID-19 Pandemic and Policy Responses on Excess Mortality. 2021. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w28930.pdf（2759KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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