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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w28932 |
来源ID | Working Paper 28932 |
Spatial-SIR with Network Structure and Behavior: Lockdown Rules and the Lucas Critique | |
Alberto Bisin; Andrea Moro | |
发表日期 | 2021-06-21 |
出版年 | 2021 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | We introduce a model of the diffusion of an epidemic with demographically heterogeneous agents interacting socially on a spatially structured network. Contagion-risk averse agents respond behaviorally to the diffusion of the infections by limiting their social interactions. Firms also respond by allowing employees to work remotely, depending on their productivity. The spatial structure induces local herd immunities along sociodemographic dimensions, which significantly affect the dynamics of infections. We study several non-pharmaceutical interventions; e.g., i) lockdown rules, which set thresholds on the spread of the infection for the closing and reopening of economic activities; and ii) selective lockdowns, which restrict social interactions by location (in the network) and by the demographic characteristics of the agents. Substantiating a “Lucas critique” argument, we assess the cost of naive discretionary policies ignoring agents and firms’ behavioral responses. |
主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Regional and Urban Economics ; Regional Economics ; COVID-19 |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28932 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586606 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Alberto Bisin,Andrea Moro. Spatial-SIR with Network Structure and Behavior: Lockdown Rules and the Lucas Critique. 2021. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w28932.pdf(586KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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