| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w28949 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 28949 |
| Coal-Fired Power Plant Retirements in the U.S. | |
| Rebecca J. Davis; J. Scott Holladay; Charles Sims | |
| 发表日期 | 2021-06-28 |
| 出版年 | 2021 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We summarize the history of U.S. coal-fired plant retirements over the last decade, describe planned future retirements, and forecast the remaining operating life for every operating coal-fired generator. We summarize the technology and location trends that are correlated with the observed retirements. We then describe a theoretical model of the retirement decision coal generator owners face. We use retirements from the last decade to quantify the relationships in the model for retired generators. Our model predicts that three-quarters of coal generation capacity will retire in the next twenty years, with most of that retirement concentrated in the next five years. Policy has limited ability to affect retirement times. A $20 per MWh electricity subsidy extends the average life of a generator by six years. A $51 per ton carbon tax brings forward retirement dates by about two years. In all scenarios, a handful of electricity generators remain on the grid beyond our forecast horizon. |
| 主题 | Public Economics ; Public Goods ; Industrial Organization ; Market Structure and Firm Performance ; Regulatory Economics ; Industry Studies ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Energy |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w28949 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586623 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Rebecca J. Davis,J. Scott Holladay,Charles Sims. Coal-Fired Power Plant Retirements in the U.S.. 2021. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w28949.pdf（651KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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