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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w28992
来源IDWorking Paper 28992
Converging to Converge? A Comment
Daron Acemoglu; Carlos A. Molina
发表日期2021-07-05
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要Kremer, Willis, and You (2021) revisit cross-country convergence patterns over the last six decades. They provide evidence that the lack of convergence that applied early in the sample has now been replaced by modest convergence. They also argue this relationship is driven by convergence in various determinants of economic growth across countries and a flattening of the relationship between these determinants and growth. Although the patterns documented by the authors are intriguing, our reanalysis finds that these results are driven by the lack of country fixed effects controlling for unobserved determinants of GDP per capita across countries. We show theoretically and empirically that failure to include country fixed effects will create a bias in convergence coeffcients towards zero and this bias can be time-varying, even when the underlying country-level parameters are stable. These results are relevant not just for the current paper, but for the convergence literature more generally. Our reanalysis finds no evidence of major changes in patterns of convergence and, more importantly, no flattening of the relationship between institutional variables and economic growth. Focusing on democracy, we show that this variable's impact continues to be precisely estimated and if anything a little larger than at the beginning of the sample.
主题Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity ; Other ; Economic Systems
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w28992
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586666
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Daron Acemoglu,Carlos A. Molina. Converging to Converge? A Comment. 2021.
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