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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w28995
来源IDWorking Paper 28995
The Effects of Climate Change on Labor and Capital Reallocation
Christoph Albert; Paula Bustos; Jacopo Ponticelli
发表日期2021-07-05
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要We study the effects of climate change on labor and capital reallocation across regions, sectors and firms. We use newly digitized administrative reports on extreme weather events occurred in Brazil during the last two decades and a meteorological measure of excess dryness relative to historical averages to estimate the effects of droughts in the local economy of affected areas, on the magnitude of the labor and capital flows they generate and on factor allocation in destination regions. We document two main results. In the short run, local economies insure themselves against negative weather shocks via financial integration with other regions. However, in the long run, affected regions experience capital outflows driven by a reduction in loans, consistent with a permanent decrease in investment opportunities. Second, we find that abnormal dryness affects the structure of both the local economy and the economy of areas connected via migrant networks. Directly affected areas experience a sharp reduction in population and employment, concentrated in agriculture and services. While local manufacturing absorbs some of the displaced workers, these regions experience large out-migration flows. Regions receiving climate migrants expand employment in agriculture and services, but not in manufacturing. Using social security data, we provide evidence that labor market frictions direct migrants to firms connected to migrant social networks, which are mostly outside the manufacturing sector. This has implications for the composition of economic activity and the firm size distribution in destination regions.
主题Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration ; Development and Growth ; Development ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Environment
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w28995
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586669
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Christoph Albert,Paula Bustos,Jacopo Ponticelli. The Effects of Climate Change on Labor and Capital Reallocation. 2021.
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