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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w29000
来源IDWorking Paper 29000
How Americans Respond to Idiosyncratic and Exogenous Changes in Household Wealth and Unearned Income
Mikhail Golosov; Michael Graber; Magne Mogstad; David Novgorodsky
发表日期2021-07-05
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要We study how Americans respond to idiosyncratic and exogenous changes in household wealth and unearned income. Our analyses combine administrative data on U.S. lottery winners with an event-study design that exploits variation in the timing of lottery wins. Our first contribution is to estimate the earnings responses to these windfall gains, finding significant and sizable wealth and income effects. On average, an extra dollar of unearned income in a given period reduces pre-tax labor earnings by about 50 cents, decreases total labor taxes by 10 cents, and increases consumption by 60 cents. These effects are heterogeneous across the income distribution, with households in higher quartiles of the income distribution reducing their earnings by a larger amount. Our second contribution is to develop and apply a rich life-cycle model in which heterogeneous households face non-linear taxes and make earnings choices along both intensive and extensive margins. By mapping this model to our estimated earnings responses, we obtain informative bounds on the impacts of two policy reforms: an introduction of UBI and an increase in top marginal tax rates. Our last contribution is to study how additional wealth and unearned income affect a wide range of behavior, including geographic mobility and neighborhood choice, retirement decisions and labor market exit, family formation and dissolution, entry into entrepreneurship, and job-to-job mobility.
主题Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; Public Economics ; Taxation ; Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w29000
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586674
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Mikhail Golosov,Michael Graber,Magne Mogstad,et al. How Americans Respond to Idiosyncratic and Exogenous Changes in Household Wealth and Unearned Income. 2021.
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