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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w29085
来源IDWorking Paper 29085
The Real Channel for Nominal Bond-Stock Puzzles
Mikhail Chernov; Lars A. Lochstoer; Dongho Song
发表日期2021-07-26
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要We present evidence that the mix of transitory and permanent shocks to consumption is changing over time. We identify three regimes: two highly persistent regimes where either permanent or transitory shocks are relatively more dominant, and a disaster regime that is largely transitory. We study implications of this finding for asset prices. The transition from the second to the first regime in the mid-1990s makes the correlation between equities and bonds switch sign from positive to negative as in the data. The real bond and equity yield curves are approximately flat. The nominal bond curve is upward sloping. These results are achieved without relying on the nominal channel too much. That is, as in the data, the variation of inflation in the model is under 40% as a fraction of variation in nominal yields.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; Financial Economics ; Portfolio Selection and Asset Pricing
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w29085
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586759
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Mikhail Chernov,Lars A. Lochstoer,Dongho Song. The Real Channel for Nominal Bond-Stock Puzzles. 2021.
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