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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w29115
来源IDWorking Paper 29115
Optimal Tariffs and Trade Policy Formation: U.S. Evidence from the Smoot-Hawley Era
Douglas A. Irwin; Anson Soderbery
发表日期2021-08-02
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要This paper examines the political economy of U.S. trade policy around the time of the Smoot-Hawley tariff of 1930, a period when policy was unconstrained by trade agreements. We consider a model of politically-optimal trade policy for a large country that can influence its terms of trade and where workers and firms lobby for protection. The predictions of the model hinge on import demand and export supply elasticities, which we estimate using detailed U.S. import data from 1927-35, as well as industry lobbying data. We find that tariff levels are largely determined by firm lobbies, but about about 5 percentage points of the tariffs are explained by terms of trade considerations. Decomposing the politically-optimal tariff in 1931 reveals an intensification of demand for protection by workers in the Smoot-Hawley tariff.
主题International Economics ; Trade
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w29115
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586789
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Douglas A. Irwin,Anson Soderbery. Optimal Tariffs and Trade Policy Formation: U.S. Evidence from the Smoot-Hawley Era. 2021.
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