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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w29133
来源IDWorking Paper 29133
Soaking Up the Sun: Battery Investment, Renewable Energy, and Market Equilibrium
R. Andrew Butters; Jackson Dorsey; Gautam Gowrisankaran
发表日期2021-08-09
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要Renewable energy and battery storage are seen as complementary technologies that can together facilitate reductions in carbon emissions. We develop and estimate a dynamic competitive equilibrium model of storage investment and operations to evaluate the adoption trajectory of utility-scale storage under different counterfactual policy environments. Using data from California, we find that the first storage unit breaks even in 2027 when renewable energy share will reach 52%. Despite this, battery adoption is virtually non-existent until 2040 without a storage mandate or subsidy. Our model indicates this is because equilibrium effects reduce the marginal value of subsequent storage investments; expected future capital cost reductions incentivize delayed investment; and depreciation from cycling lowers the value of investment. We show that California’s 2024 storage mandate decreases future electricity generation costs by $511 million but also increases expected capital costs by $944 million by shifting adoption earlier, before projected capital cost declines are realized.
主题Industrial Organization ; Industry Studies ; Environmental and Resource Economics ; Energy ; Environment
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w29133
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586807
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R. Andrew Butters,Jackson Dorsey,Gautam Gowrisankaran. Soaking Up the Sun: Battery Investment, Renewable Energy, and Market Equilibrium. 2021.
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