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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w29155 |
来源ID | Working Paper 29155 |
Financial crises: A survey | |
Amir Sufi; Alan M. Taylor | |
发表日期 | 2021-08-16 |
出版年 | 2021 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Financial crises have large deleterious effects on economic activity, and as such have been the focus of a large body of research. This study surveys the existing literature on financial crises, exploring how crises are measured, whether they are predictable, and why they are associated with economic contractions. Historical narrative techniques continue to form the backbone for measuring crises, but there have been exciting developments in using quantitative data as well. Crises are predictable with growth in credit and elevated asset prices playing an especially important role; recent research points convincingly to the importance of behavioral biases in explaining such predictability. The negative consequences of a crisis are due to both the crisis itself but also to the imbalances that precede a crisis. Crises do not occur randomly, and, as a result, an understanding of financial crises requires an investigation into the booms that precede them. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; Financial Economics ; Financial Markets ; History ; Financial History |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w29155 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586828 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Amir Sufi,Alan M. Taylor. Financial crises: A survey. 2021. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w29155.pdf(753KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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