| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w29220 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 29220 |
| Simulating Endogenous Global Automation | |
| Seth G. Benzell; Laurence J. Kotlikoff; Guillermo LaGarda; Victor Yifan Ye | |
| 发表日期 | 2021-09-13 |
| 出版年 | 2021 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | This paper develops a 17-region, 3-skill group, overlapping generations, computable general equilibrium model to evaluate the global consequences of automation. Automation, modeled as capital- and high-skill biased technological change, is endogenous with regions adopting new technologies when profitable. Our approach captures and quantifies key macro implications of a range of foundational models of automation. In our baseline scenario, automation has a moderate effect on regional outputs and a small effect on world interest rates. However, it has a major impact on inequality, both wage inequality within regions and per capita GDP inequality across regions. We examine two policy responses to technological change -- mandating use of the advanced technology and providing universal basic income to share gains from automation. The former policy can raise a region's output, but at a welfare cost. The latter policy can transform automation into a win-win for all generations in a region. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics ; Macroeconomic Models ; Consumption and Investment ; International Economics ; International Macroeconomics ; Development and Growth ; Innovation and R& ; D ; Growth and Productivity |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w29220 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/586894 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Seth G. Benzell,Laurence J. Kotlikoff,Guillermo LaGarda,et al. Simulating Endogenous Global Automation. 2021. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w29220.pdf（6070KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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