G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w29376
来源IDWorking Paper 29376
Firms' Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from France
Frédérique Savignac; Erwan Gautier; Yuriy Gorodnichenko; Olivier Coibion
发表日期2021-10-18
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要Using a new survey of firms’ inflation expectations in France, we provide novel evidence about the measurement and formation of inflation expectations on the part of firms. First, French firms report inflation expectations with a smaller, but still positive, bias than households and display less disagreement. Second, we characterize the extent and manner in which the wording of questions matters for the measurement of firms’ inflation expectations. Third, we document whether and how the position of the respondent within the firm affects the provided responses. Fourth, because our survey measures firms’ expectations about aggregate and firm-level wage growth along with their inflation expectations, we are able to show that expectations about wages are even more condensed than firms’ inflation expectations and almost completely uncorrelated with them, indicating that firms perceive little link between price and wage inflation. Finally, an experimental treatment indicates that an exogenous change in firms’ inflation expectations has no effect on their aggregate wage expectations.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Money and Interest Rates ; Monetary Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w29376
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587050
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GB/T 7714
Frédérique Savignac,Erwan Gautier,Yuriy Gorodnichenko,et al. Firms' Inflation Expectations: New Evidence from France. 2021.
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