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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w29405
来源IDWorking Paper 29405
The Economic Burden of Pension Shortfalls: Evidence from House Prices
Darren Aiello; Asaf Bernstein; Mahyar Kargar; Ryan Lewis; Michael Schwert
发表日期2021-10-25
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要U.S. state pensions are underfunded by trillions of dollars, but their economic burden is unclear. In a model of inefficient taxation, real estate fully reflects the cost of pension shortfalls when it is the only form of immobile capital. We study the effect of pension shortfalls on real estate values at state borders, where labor and physical capital could more easily relocate to a state with a smaller shortfall. Using plausibly exogenous variation driven by pension asset returns, we find that one dollar of pension underfunding reduces house prices near state borders by approximately two dollars. Our estimates imply a deadweight loss associated with addressing pension shortfalls that is consistent with prior research in settings with high returns to public spending and costs of taxation.
主题Public Economics ; Public Goods ; National Fiscal Issues ; Subnational Fiscal Issues ; Regional and Urban Economics ; Real Estate
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w29405
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587079
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Darren Aiello,Asaf Bernstein,Mahyar Kargar,et al. The Economic Burden of Pension Shortfalls: Evidence from House Prices. 2021.
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