| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w29525 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 29525 |
| Local Economic and Political Effects of Trade Deals: Evidence from NAFTA | |
| Jiwon Choi; Ilyana Kuziemko; Ebonya L. Washington; Gavin Wright | |
| 发表日期 | 2021-11-29 |
| 出版年 | 2021 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | Why have white, less educated voters left the Democratic Party over the past few decades? Scholars have proposed ethnocentrism, social issues and deindustrialization as potential answers. We highlight the role played by the 1994 North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA). In event-study analysis, we demonstrate that counties whose 1990 employment depended on industries vulnerable to NAFTA suffered large and persistent employment losses relative to other counties. These losses begin in the mid-1990s and are only modestly offset by transfer programs. While exposed counties historically voted Democratic, in the mid-1990s they turn away from the party of the president (Bill Clinton) who ushered in the agreement and by 2000 vote majority Republican in House elections. Employing a variety of micro-data sources, including 1992-1994 respondent-level panel data, we show that protectionist views predict movement toward the GOP in the years that NAFTA is debated and implemented. This shift among protectionist respondents is larger for whites (especially men and those without a college degree) and those with conservative social views, suggesting an interactive effect whereby racial identity and social-issue positions mediate reactions to economic policies. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; International Economics ; Trade ; Public Economics ; National Fiscal Issues |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w29525 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587199 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Jiwon Choi,Ilyana Kuziemko,Ebonya L. Washington,et al. Local Economic and Political Effects of Trade Deals: Evidence from NAFTA. 2021. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w29525.pdf（2103KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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