G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w29572
来源IDWorking Paper 29572
Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks Using the Central Bank's Information Set
Ruediger Bachmann; Isabel Gödl-Hanisch; Eric R. Sims
发表日期2021-12-20
出版年2021
语种英语
摘要We identify monetary policy shocks by exploiting variation in the central bank’s information set. To be specific, we use differences between nowcasts of the output gap and inflation with final, revised estimates of these series to isolate movements in the policy rate unrelated to economic conditions. We then compute the effects of a monetary policy shock on the aggregate economy using local projection methods. We find that a contractionary monetary policy shock has a limited negative effect on output but a persistent negative impact on prices. In contrast to alternative identification approaches, we do not observe a price puzzle when analyzing the period from 1987 to 2008. Further, we validate the identification approach in a simple New Keynesian model, augmented by the assumption that the central bank observes the ingredients of the Taylor rule with error.
主题Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Monetary Policy
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w29572
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587246
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Ruediger Bachmann,Isabel Gödl-Hanisch,Eric R. Sims. Identifying Monetary Policy Shocks Using the Central Bank's Information Set. 2021.
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