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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w29681
来源IDWorking Paper 29681
Estimating Candidate Valence
Kei Kawai; Takeaki Sunada
发表日期2022-01-24
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要We estimate valence measures for candidates running in U.S. House elections from data on vote shares. Our estimates control for endogeneity of campaign spending and sample selection of candidates due to endogenous entry. Our identification and estimation strategy builds on ideas developed for estimating production functions. We find that incumbents have substantially higher valence measures than challengers running against them, resulting in about 9.2 percentage-point differences in the vote share, on average. We find that open-seat challengers have higher valence measures than those running against incumbents by about 5.3 percentage points. Our measure of candidate valence can be used to study various substantive questions of political economy. We illustrate its usefulness by studying the source of incumbency advantage in U.S. House elections.
主题Microeconomics ; Households and Firms ; Welfare and Collective Choice
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w29681
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587355
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Kei Kawai,Takeaki Sunada. Estimating Candidate Valence. 2022.
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