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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w29753
来源IDWorking Paper 29753
Who Can Tell Which Banks Will Fail?
Kristian Blickle; Markus K. Brunnermeier; Stephan Luck
发表日期2022-02-14
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要We use the German Crisis of 1931, a key event of the Great Depression, to study how depositors behave during a bank run in the absence of deposit insurance. We find that deposits decline by around 20% during the run and that there is an equal outflow of retail and non-financial wholesale deposits from both ex-post failing and surviving banks. This implies that regular depositors are unable to identify failing banks. In contrast, the interbank market precisely identifies which banks will fail: the interbank market collapses for failing banks entirely but continues to function for surviving banks, which can borrow from other banks in response to deposit outflows. Since regular depositors appear uninformed, we argue that it is unlikely that deposit insurance would exacerbate moral hazard. Instead, interbank depositors are best positioned for providing “discipline” via short-term funding.
主题Financial Economics ; Financial Institutions
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w29753
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587427
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Kristian Blickle,Markus K. Brunnermeier,Stephan Luck. Who Can Tell Which Banks Will Fail?. 2022.
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