| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w29763 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 29763 |
| The World Uncertainty Index | |
| Hites Ahir; Nicholas Bloom; Davide Furceri | |
| 发表日期 | 2022-02-21 |
| 出版年 | 2022 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We construct the World Uncertainty Index (WUI) for an unbalanced panel of 143 individual countries on a quarterly basis from 1952. This is the frequency of the word “uncertainty” in the quarterly Economist Intelligence Unit country reports. Globally, the Index spikes around major events like the Gulf War, the Euro debt crisis, the Brexit vote and the COVID pandemic. The level of uncertainty is higher in developing countries but is more synchronized across advanced economies with their tighter trade and financial linkages. In a panel vector autoregressive setting we find that innovations in the WUI foreshadow significant declines in output. This effect is larger and more persistent in countries with lower institutional quality, and in sectors with greater financial constraints. |
| 主题 | Macroeconomics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w29763 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587437 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Hites Ahir,Nicholas Bloom,Davide Furceri. The World Uncertainty Index. 2022. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w29763.pdf（1403KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
