| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w29766 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 29766 |
| Electoral Turnovers | |
| Benjamin Marx; Vincent Pons; Vincent Rollet | |
| 发表日期 | 2022-02-21 |
| 出版年 | 2022 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | In most national elections, voters face a key choice between continuity and change. Electoral turnovers occur when the incumbent candidate or party fails to win reelection. To understand how turnovers affect national outcomes, we study the universe of presidential and parliamentary elections held since 1945. We document the prevalence of turnovers over time and estimate their effects on economic performance, trade, human development, conflict, and democracy. Using a close-elections regression discontinuity design (RDD) across countries, we show that turnovers improve country performance. These effects are not driven by differences in the characteristics of challengers, or by the fact that challengers systematically increase the level of government intervention in the economy. Electing new leaders leads to more policy change, it improves governance, and it reduces perceived corruption, consistent with the expectation that recently elected leaders exert more effort due to stronger reputation concerns. |
| 主题 | Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice ; Development and Growth ; Growth and Productivity ; Other ; Economic Systems |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w29766 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587440 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Benjamin Marx,Vincent Pons,Vincent Rollet. Electoral Turnovers. 2022. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w29766.pdf（1535KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
除非特别说明，本系统中所有内容都受版权保护，并保留所有权利。
