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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w29799
来源IDWorking Paper 29799
Business Cycles and Healthcare Employment
Erkmen G. Aslim; Shin-Yi Chou; Kuhelika De
发表日期2022-02-28
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要Is healthcare employment recession proof? We examine the hypothesis that healthcare employment is stable across the business cycle. We explicitly distinguish between negative aggregate demand and supply shocks in studying how healthcare employment responds to recessions, and show that this response depends largely on the type of the exogenous shock triggering the recession. We find that healthcare employment responds procyclically to demand-induced recessions; and the reduction is driven by layoffs and discharges rather than voluntary quits. In evaluating additional mechanisms, we find evidence of a reduction in real personal healthcare expenditures resulting from an adverse demand shock. By contrast, we find that healthcare employment is fairly stable and even responds countercyclically to supply-induced recessions, suggesting compositional changes such as downskilling particularly in nursing sectors. Our findings establish that employment responses during economic downturns are heterogeneous across healthcare sub-sectors. More generally, by isolating the impact of the structural demand shock from supply shock on healthcare employment, we provide new empirical evidence that healthcare employment is not recession proof.
主题Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Macroeconomics ; Business Cycles ; Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health ; Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w29799
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587473
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GB/T 7714
Erkmen G. Aslim,Shin-Yi Chou,Kuhelika De. Business Cycles and Healthcare Employment. 2022.
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