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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w29823 |
来源ID | Working Paper 29823 |
Effects of the Expanded Child Tax Credit on Employment Outcomes: Evidence from Real-World Data from April to December 2021 | |
Elizabeth Ananat; Benjamin Glasner; Christal Hamilton; Zachary Parolin | |
发表日期 | 2022-03-07 |
出版年 | 2022 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Studies have established that the expanded Child Tax Credit (CTC), which provided monthly cash payments to most U.S. families with children from July to December 2021, substantially reduced poverty and food hardship. Other studies posit, however, that the CTC payments may generate negative employment effects that could offset its potential poverty-reduction effects. Scholars have simulated employment scenarios assuming various labor supply elasticities, but less work has empirically assessed how the monthly payments affected employment outcomes using real-world data. To evaluate employment effects, we apply a series of difference-in-differences analyses using data from the monthly Current Population Survey and the Census Pulse, both from April through December 2021. Across both samples and several model specifications, we find very small, inconsistently signed, and statistically insignificant impacts of the CTC both on employment in the prior week and on active participation in the labor force among adults living in households with children. Further, labor supply responses to the policy change do not differ for households for whom the CTC’s expansion eliminated a previous work incentive. Thus, our analyses of real-world data suggest that the expanded CTC did not have negative short-term employment effects that offset its documented reductions in poverty and hardship. |
主题 | Public Economics ; Taxation ; Labor Economics ; Demography and Aging ; Labor Supply and Demand |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w29823 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587496 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Elizabeth Ananat,Benjamin Glasner,Christal Hamilton,et al. Effects of the Expanded Child Tax Credit on Employment Outcomes: Evidence from Real-World Data from April to December 2021. 2022. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w29823.pdf(526KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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