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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w29929 |
来源ID | Working Paper 29929 |
A Minimalist Model for the Ruble During the Russian Invasion of Ukraine | |
Guido Lorenzoni; Iván Werning | |
发表日期 | 2022-04-11 |
出版年 | 2022 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | This note isolates an overlooked economic force for the Ruble to appreciate in response to international sanctions limiting exports to Russia. The economic intuition is that when Russians are unable to buy the mix of foreign goods they wish, then foreign goods becomes less attractive, increasing the demand for domestic goods; to reestablish an equilibrium a real appreciation is needed to raise the relative price of domestic goods and incentivizing the accumulation of foreign assets and the import from non-sanctioning countries. We also review well-known forces for a depreciation (e.g. Russian export reduction). Our analysis emphasizes that the exchange rate is an inadequate signal of welfare impacts and the effectiveness of sanctions. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics ; Globalization and International Relations |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w29929 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587602 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Guido Lorenzoni,Iván Werning. A Minimalist Model for the Ruble During the Russian Invasion of Ukraine. 2022. |
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文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w29929.pdf(159KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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