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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w29929
来源IDWorking Paper 29929
A Minimalist Model for the Ruble During the Russian Invasion of Ukraine
Guido Lorenzoni; Iván Werning
发表日期2022-04-11
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要This note isolates an overlooked economic force for the Ruble to appreciate in response to international sanctions limiting exports to Russia. The economic intuition is that when Russians are unable to buy the mix of foreign goods they wish, then foreign goods becomes less attractive, increasing the demand for domestic goods; to reestablish an equilibrium a real appreciation is needed to raise the relative price of domestic goods and incentivizing the accumulation of foreign assets and the import from non-sanctioning countries. We also review well-known forces for a depreciation (e.g. Russian export reduction). Our analysis emphasizes that the exchange rate is an inadequate signal of welfare impacts and the effectiveness of sanctions.
主题Macroeconomics ; International Economics ; International Finance ; International Macroeconomics ; Globalization and International Relations
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w29929
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587602
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Guido Lorenzoni,Iván Werning. A Minimalist Model for the Ruble During the Russian Invasion of Ukraine. 2022.
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