| 来源类型 | Working Paper
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| 规范类型 | 报告
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| DOI | 10.3386/w29980
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| 来源ID | Working Paper 29980
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| AI, Trade and Creative Destruction: A First Look |
| Daniel Trefler; Ruiqi Sun
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| 发表日期 | 2022-05-02
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| 出版年 | 2022
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| 语种 | 英语
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| 摘要 | Artificial Intelligence is a powerful new technology that will likely have large impacts on the size, direction and composition of international trade flows. Yet almost nothing is known empirically about this. One AI-enabled set of services that can be tracked resides in the palm of our hands: the Mobile Apps used by half the world's population. To analyze the impact of AI on international trade in mobile App services we merge 2014-2020 data on international downloads of mobile Apps with data on the AI patents held by each App's parent company. From this we build a measure of AI deployment. We instrument AI deployment using cost-shifters from the theory of comparative advantage: Countries with a large stock of AI expertise will have a comparative advantage producing AI-intensive Apps. We show the following IV results. (1) Bilateral Trade: AI deployment increases App downloads by a factor of six. (2) Variety Effects: AI deployment doubles the number of exported App varieties. (3) Creative Destruction: AI deployment increases creative destruction (entry and exit of Apps) and in 2020 the net effect was an increase in welfare of between 2.5% and 10.6%. |
| 主题 | International Economics
; Trade
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| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w29980
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| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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| 引用统计 |
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| 资源类型 | 智库出版物
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| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587653
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推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714 |
Daniel Trefler,Ruiqi Sun. AI, Trade and Creative Destruction: A First Look. 2022.
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文件名：
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w29980.pdf
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格式：
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Adobe PDF
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