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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w30048
来源IDWorking Paper 30048
Local Shocks and Internal Migration: The Disparate Effects of Robots and Chinese Imports in the US
Marius Faber; Andrés P. Sarto; Marco Tabellini
发表日期2022-05-16
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要Migration is a key mechanism through which local labor markets adjust to economic shocks. In this paper, we analyze the migration response of American workers to two of the most important shocks that hit US manufacturing since the 1990s: Chinese import competition and the introduction of industrial robots. Exploiting plausibly exogenous variation in exposure across US local labor markets over time, we establish a new fact. Even though both shocks drastically reduced employment in the manufacturing sector, only robots led to a sizable decline in population size. We provide evidence that negative employment spillovers outside manufacturing, caused by robots but not by Chinese imports, can explain the different migration responses. We interpret our findings through the lens of a model that highlights two mechanisms: the cost savings that each shock provides and the degree of complementarity between directly and indirectly exposed industries.
主题Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand ; Unemployment and Immigration
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w30048
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587722
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Marius Faber,Andrés P. Sarto,Marco Tabellini. Local Shocks and Internal Migration: The Disparate Effects of Robots and Chinese Imports in the US. 2022.
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