| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w30070 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 30070 |
| The Crime Effect of Refugees | |
| Mevlude Akbulut-Yuksel; Naci H. Mocan; Semih Tumen; Belgi Turan | |
| 发表日期 | 2022-05-23 |
| 出版年 | 2022 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We analyze the impact on crime of 3.7 million refugees who entered and stayed in Turkey as a result of the civil war in Syria. Using a novel administrative data source on the flow of offense records to prosecutors’ offices in 81 provinces of the country each year, and utilizing the staggered movement of refugees across provinces over time, we estimate instrumental variables models that address potential endogeneity of the number of refugees and their location, and find that an increase in the number of refugees leads to more crime. We estimate that the influx of refugees between 2012 and 2016 generated additional 75,000 to 150,000 crimes per year, although it is not possible to identify the distribution of these crimes between refugees and natives. Additional analyses reveal that low-educated native population has a separate, but smaller, effect on crime. We also highlight the pitfalls of employing incorrect empirical procedures and using poor proxies of criminal activity which produce the wrong inference about the refugee-crime relationship. Our results underline the need to quickly strengthen the social safety systems, to take actions to dampen the impact on the labor market, and to provide support to the criminal justice system in order to mitigate the repercussions of massive influx of individuals into a country, and to counter the social and political backlash that typically emerges in the wake of such large-scale population movements. |
| 主题 | Labor Economics ; Labor Compensation ; Unemployment and Immigration ; Other ; Law and Economics |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w30070 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587744 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Mevlude Akbulut-Yuksel,Naci H. Mocan,Semih Tumen,et al. The Crime Effect of Refugees. 2022. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w30070.pdf（1368KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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