| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w30167 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 30167 |
| Measuring the Tolerance of the State: Theory and Application to Protest | |
| Veli Andirin; Yusuf Neggers; Mehdi Shadmehr; Jesse M. Shapiro | |
| 发表日期 | 2022-06-20 |
| 出版年 | 2022 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | We develop a measure of a regime's tolerance for an action by its citizens. We ground our measure in an economic model and apply it to the setting of political protest. In the model, a regime anticipating a protest can take a costly action to repress it. We define the regime's tolerance as the ratio of its cost of repression to its cost of protest. Because an intolerant regime will engage in repression whenever protest is sufficiently likely, a regime's tolerance determines the maximum equilibrium probability of protest. Tolerance can therefore be identified from the distribution of protest probabilities. We construct a novel cross-national database of protest occurrence and protest predictors, and apply machine-learning methods to estimate protest probabilities. We use the estimated protest probabilities to form a measure of tolerance at the country, country-year, and country-month levels. We apply the measure to questions of interest. |
| 主题 | Econometrics ; Estimation Methods ; Microeconomics ; Welfare and Collective Choice |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w30167 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587841 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Veli Andirin,Yusuf Neggers,Mehdi Shadmehr,et al. Measuring the Tolerance of the State: Theory and Application to Protest. 2022. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w30167.pdf（2300KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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