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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w30168
来源IDWorking Paper 30168
Was Pandemic Fiscal Relief Effective Fiscal Stimulus? Evidence from Aid to State and Local Governments
Jeffrey Clemens; Philip G. Hoxie; Stan Veuger
发表日期2022-06-20
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要We use an instrumental-variables estimator reliant on variation in congressional representation to analyze the effects of federal aid to state and local governments across all four major pieces of COVID-19 response legislation. Through September 2021, we estimate that the federal government allocated $855,000 for each state or local government job-year preserved. Our baseline confidence interval allows us to rule out estimates of less than $433,000. Our estimates of effects on aggregate income and output are centered on zero and imply modest if any spillover effects onto the broader economy. We discuss aspects of the pandemic context, which include the surprising resilience of state and local tax revenues as well as of broader macroeconomic conditions, that may underlie the small employment and stimulative impacts we estimate in comparison with previous research.
主题Macroeconomics ; Fiscal Policy ; Public Economics ; Subnational Fiscal Issues ; COVID-19
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w30168
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587842
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Jeffrey Clemens,Philip G. Hoxie,Stan Veuger. Was Pandemic Fiscal Relief Effective Fiscal Stimulus? Evidence from Aid to State and Local Governments. 2022.
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