| 来源类型 | Working Paper |
| 规范类型 | 报告 |
| DOI | 10.3386/w30202 |
| 来源ID | Working Paper 30202 |
| Economic vs. Epidemiological Approaches to Measuring the Human Capital Impacts of Infectious Disease Elimination | |
| Caroline Chuard; Hannes Schwandt; Alexander D. Becker; Masahiko Haraguchi | |
| 发表日期 | 2022-07-04 |
| 出版年 | 2022 |
| 语种 | 英语 |
| 摘要 | A rich economic literature has examined the human capital impacts of disease-eliminating health interventions, such as the rollout of new vaccines. This literature is based on reduced-form approaches which exploit proxies for disease burden, such as mortality, instead of actual infection counts, which are difficult to measure. We develop an epidemiological dynamic accounting model based on the susceptible-infected-recovered (SIR) framework to derive precise measles infection shares across U.S. cohorts born around the introduction of the measles vaccine. Measles is highly infectious and fully immunizing which makes the disease an ideal candidate for epidemiological modeling. Our epidemiological model is strongly predictive of future measles outbreaks but the derived measles infection shares are not systematically related to cohorts' later educational, economic, or health outcomes. The reduced-form approach, on the other hand, shows that these long-term outcomes strongly improved among vaccinated cohorts in states with high pre-vaccine measles mortality. Our results suggest that differences in disease severity are more relevant for long-term human capital impacts than raw differences in actual infection rates, supporting the reduced-form approach used in the economic literature. |
| 主题 | Health, Education, and Welfare ; Health |
| URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w30202 |
| 来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
| 引用统计 | |
| 资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
| 条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587874 |
| 推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Caroline Chuard,Hannes Schwandt,Alexander D. Becker,et al. Economic vs. Epidemiological Approaches to Measuring the Human Capital Impacts of Infectious Disease Elimination. 2022. |
| 条目包含的文件 | ||||||
| 文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
| w30202.pdf（660KB） | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 | ||
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