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来源类型 | Working Paper |
规范类型 | 报告 |
DOI | 10.3386/w30211 |
来源ID | Working Paper 30211 |
u* = \u221auv | |
Pascal Michaillat; Emmanuel Saez | |
发表日期 | 2022-07-04 |
出版年 | 2022 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | Most governments are mandated to maintain their economies at full employment. We propose that the best marker of full employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of labor—both jobseeking and recruiting. The nonproductive use of labor is well measured by the number of jobseekers and vacancies, u + v. Through the Beveridge curve, the number of vacancies is inversely related to the number of jobseekers. With such symmetry, the labor market is efficient when there are as many jobseekers as vacancies (u = v), too tight when there are more vacancies than jobseekers (v > u), and too slack when there are more jobseekers than vacancies (u > v). Accordingly, the efficient unemployment rate is the geometric average of the unemployment and vacancy rates: u* = √uv. We compute u* for the United States between 1930 and 2022. We find for instance that the US labor market has been over full employment (u < u*) since May 2021. |
主题 | Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Monetary Policy ; Fiscal Policy ; Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration |
URL | https://www.nber.org/papers/w30211 |
来源智库 | National Bureau of Economic Research (United States) |
引用统计 | |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587883 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Pascal Michaillat,Emmanuel Saez. u* = \u221auv. 2022. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
w30211.pdf(723KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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