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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w30211
来源IDWorking Paper 30211
u* = \u221auv
Pascal Michaillat; Emmanuel Saez
发表日期2022-07-04
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要Most governments are mandated to maintain their economies at full employment. We propose that the best marker of full employment is the efficient unemployment rate, u*. We define u* as the unemployment rate that minimizes the nonproductive use of labor—both jobseeking and recruiting. The nonproductive use of labor is well measured by the number of jobseekers and vacancies, u + v. Through the Beveridge curve, the number of vacancies is inversely related to the number of jobseekers. With such symmetry, the labor market is efficient when there are as many jobseekers as vacancies (u = v), too tight when there are more vacancies than jobseekers (v > u), and too slack when there are more jobseekers than vacancies (u > v). Accordingly, the efficient unemployment rate is the geometric average of the unemployment and vacancy rates: u* = √uv. We compute u* for the United States between 1930 and 2022. We find for instance that the US labor market has been over full employment (u < u*) since May 2021.
主题Macroeconomics ; Consumption and Investment ; Business Cycles ; Monetary Policy ; Fiscal Policy ; Labor Economics ; Unemployment and Immigration
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w30211
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587883
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Pascal Michaillat,Emmanuel Saez. u* = \u221auv. 2022.
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