G2TT
来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w30229
来源IDWorking Paper 30229
Real-Time Inequality
Thomas Blanchet; Emmanuel Saez; Gabriel Zucman
发表日期2022-07-11
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要This paper constructs high-frequency and timely income distributions for the United States. We develop a methodology to combine the information contained in high-frequency public data sources—including monthly household and employment surveys, quarterly censuses of employment and wages, and monthly and quarterly national accounts statistics—in a unified framework. This allows us to estimate economic growth by income groups, race, and gender consistent with quarterly releases of macroeconomic growth, and to track the distributional impacts of government policies during and in the aftermath of recessions in real time. We test and successfully validate our methodology by implementing it retrospectively back to 1976. Analyzing the Covid-19 pandemic, we find that all income groups recovered their pre-crisis pretax income level within 20 months of the beginning of the recession. Although the recovery was primarily driven by jobs rather than wage growth, wages experienced significant gains at the bottom of the distribution, highlighting the equalizing effects of tight labor markets. After accounting for taxes and cash transfers, real disposable income for the bottom 50% was 20% higher in 2021 than in 2019, but fell in the first half of 2022 as the expansion of the welfare state during the pandemic was rolled back. All estimates are available at https://realtimeinequality.org and are updated with each quarterly release of the national accounts, within a few hours.
主题Macroeconomics ; Public Economics ; Taxation ; National Fiscal Issues ; Labor Economics ; Labor Compensation ; COVID-19
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w30229
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587900
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GB/T 7714
Thomas Blanchet,Emmanuel Saez,Gabriel Zucman. Real-Time Inequality. 2022.
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