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来源类型Working Paper
规范类型报告
DOI10.3386/w30239
来源IDWorking Paper 30239
Minimum Wages and Labor Markets in the Twin Cities
Loukas Karabarbounis; Jeremy Lise; Anusha Nath
发表日期2022-07-11
出版年2022
语种英语
摘要We bring new evidence on the labor market effects of large minimum wage increases by using merged administrative datasets from Minnesota to examine the policy changes implemented by Minneapolis and Saint Paul. We begin by using synthetic difference-in-differences methods to estimate counterfactual outcomes at the zip code level from Minnesota and at the city level from the rest of the country. The minimum wage did not affect employment in most industries but exerted a negative impact on restaurants' employment, with an elasticity of –0:8. Next, using variation in exposure to the minimum wage across establishments and workers within the Twin Cities, we find employment effects that are half as large as those from the time series. The cross-sectional estimates difference out employment effects from the pandemic or civil unrest that could confound the time series comparisons, but they do not include potential effects of the minimum wage operating through equilibrium adjustments such as entry. We quantify a model of establishment dynamics to reconcile the different estimates and argue that they plausibly reflect lower and upper bounds of employment losses. We use the model to show that our estimates are consistent with an establishment elasticity of labor demand of –1 and illustrate how they can inform deeper parameters characterizing product and labor market competition, factor substitution, and establishment dynamics.
主题Labor Economics ; Labor Supply and Demand ; Labor Compensation
URLhttps://www.nber.org/papers/w30239
来源智库National Bureau of Economic Research (United States)
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资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/587910
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GB/T 7714
Loukas Karabarbounis,Jeremy Lise,Anusha Nath. Minimum Wages and Labor Markets in the Twin Cities. 2022.
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