G2TT
来源类型CEPS Working Documents
规范类型论文
Measuring the Economic Impact of an EU-GCC Free Trade Agreement
Dean A. DeRosa; David Kernohan
发表日期2004-07-01
出版年2004
语种英语
摘要

Economic growth rates in the Gulf region have languished in recent years and need to be raised to accommodate the rapidly growing populations and social aspirations of the region. Using a simple model of world trade, this report investigates the economic impacts of the new customs union of the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and the proposed free trade agreement (FTA) between the GCC and European Union. The quantitative results suggest that the new customs union and proposed EU-GCC free trade agreement both appreciably expand trade and improve economic welfare in the GCC countries, with little significant economic impact on the EU. As expected, the FTA results in larger GCC economic gains than the customs union because it affords GCC consumers greater opportunity to enjoy imports at internationally competitive prices. Although welfare gains under the proposed FTA closely approximate those under open regionalism (concerted trade liberalisation on a most favoured nation basis), reducing the 5% GCC common external tariff to about 3% as part of the FTA negotiations would not only ensure near-maximum trade performance and welfare gains but also add further to the attractiveness of the GCC countries as a location for foreign direct investment.

主题Europe in the World
URLhttps://www.ceps.eu/publications/measuring-economic-impact-eu-gcc-free-trade-agreement
来源智库Centre for European Policy Studies (Belgium)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/62646
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Dean A. DeRosa,David Kernohan. Measuring the Economic Impact of an EU-GCC Free Trade Agreement. 2004.
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