G2TT
来源类型CEPS Working Documents
规范类型论文
Potential Economic Effects of TTIP for the Netherlands and the EU
Hugo Rojas-Romagosa
发表日期2016-09-08
出处EU-US Relations
出版年2016
语种英语
摘要

Author: Hugo Rojas-Romagosa

Series: CEPS Working Document No. 425    No of pp: 31

The Transatlantic Trade and Investment Partnership (TTIP) is a comprehensive preferential trade agreement that is expected to have a significant effect in EU and US bilateral trade and investment relations. As the negotiations are ongoing, this paper uses a scenario analysis to estimate the potential effects of TTIP under likely negotiated outcomes. In our main scenario, we assume a final trade deal where current tariffs are eliminated and non-tariff barriers are significantly reduced. Using a CGE model (WorldScan), we simulate the potential economic effects for the Netherlands and the EU. We find that US-Dutch bilateral trade doubles and this is translated into a positive but moderate effect on income of 1.7% for the Netherlands by the year 2030. These potential gains are higher than those for the EU and the US (both around 1%).

Keywords: TTIP,  preferential trade agreements, CGE models

JEL Classification: F13, F17, C68

Hugo Rojas-Romagosa is a research economist at the CPB Netherlands Bureau of Economic Policy Analysis, in the Hague.

主题Regulation
URLhttps://www.ceps.eu/publications/potential-economic-effects-ttip-netherlands-and-eu
来源智库Centre for European Policy Studies (Belgium)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/62863
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Hugo Rojas-Romagosa. Potential Economic Effects of TTIP for the Netherlands and the EU. 2016.
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