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来源类型 | ENARPRI Working Papers (closed in 2006) |
规范类型 | 论文 |
WTO Agricultural Negotiations: A Comparison of the Harbinson Proposal and the Swiss Formula | |
Martina Brockmeier; Marianne Kurzweil; Janine Pelikan; Petra Salamon | |
发表日期 | 2005-02-01 |
出版年 | 2005 |
语种 | 英语 |
摘要 | The WTO agricultural negotiations of the Doha round are a key issue in the public debate. This paper analyses the effects of different options to improve market-access on the basis of a GTAP model, comparing the impact of the Harbinson proposal and the Swiss formula on trade balances. An extended version of the GTAP model is used to first project a base run that includes factors arising from Agenda 2000, EU enlargement, the EBA agreement and the EU’s mid-term review. The policy simulation run additionally includes the WTO negotiations. Here, the model is differentiated between three experiments. While the first experiment simply implements the Harbinson proposal, the second one additionally takes into account an adoption of the EBA agreement by all industrialised countries. In the third experiment, the tariff cuts are based on the Swiss formula using a coefficient of 33 instead of the tiered approach of the Harbinson proposal. After comparing the results of the three experiments, the paper concludes that the results from the different options for improving market access show parallel developments, with more- or less-pronounced increases or decreases in trade balances. Implementation of the Harbinson approach results in negative changes in the EU’s trade balances for most agricultural products, except for the sugar, milk and other animal products sectors. The application of the Swiss formula to cut tariffs predictably results in severe losses to highly protected sectors worldwide in comparison to the Harbinson approach. In the EU, the highly protected sectors of beef and other processed food products would be particularly affected. |
主题 | Europe in the World |
URL | https://www.ceps.eu/publications/wto-agricultural-negotiations-comparison-harbinson-proposal-and-swiss-formula |
来源智库 | Centre for European Policy Studies (Belgium) |
资源类型 | 智库出版物 |
条目标识符 | http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/62918 |
推荐引用方式 GB/T 7714 | Martina Brockmeier,Marianne Kurzweil,Janine Pelikan,et al. WTO Agricultural Negotiations: A Comparison of the Harbinson Proposal and the Swiss Formula. 2005. |
条目包含的文件 | ||||||
文件名称/大小 | 资源类型 | 版本类型 | 开放类型 | 使用许可 | ||
1201.pdf(240KB) | 智库出版物 | 限制开放 | CC BY-NC-SA | 浏览 |
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