G2TT
来源类型Articles
规范类型论文
ISSN0305-750X
Macroeconomic change, competitiveness and timber production: a five-country comparison
Mindawati, N.; Heriansyah, I.; Hiratsuka, M.; Toma, T.; Gintings, A.N.; Morikawa, Y.
发表日期2005
出处World Development 33(1): 65-86
出版年2005
语种英语
摘要

This study analyzes how long-run macroeconomic fluctuations have affected timber
production levels in five tropical oil-producing countries: Gabon, Cameroon, Papua New
Guinea (PNG), Venezuela, and Ecuador. The core hypothesis is that oil booms, foreign
borrowing and other major foreign exchange inflows slow down timber harvesting. These
inflows cause “Dutch Disease,” depressing the price competitiveness of timber exports
and other trade-exposed sectors. A qualitative examination of long-run trends in the five
countries is combined with simple econometrics. The findings confirm a strong impact
of competitiveness on logging. Substantial real currency devaluation can greatly
accelerate timber exports. Yet, in middle-income countries with strongly expanding
domestic timber markets (Ecuador, Cameroon, Venezuela), home-market demand also
rises much with urban incomes and population. When full or partial import protection
occurs, this translates into rising domestic production. The relative weight of these two
potentially significant factors varies widely, so policies to influence extraction levels
need to be tailored accordingly.

主题macroeconomics ; trade ; logging ; conservation ; forest policy ; history ; oils
区域Gabon,Cameroon,Papua New Guinea,Venezuela,Ecuador
URLhttps://www.cifor.org/library/1658/
来源智库Center for International Forestry Research (Indonesia)
资源类型智库出版物
条目标识符http://119.78.100.153/handle/2XGU8XDN/90661
推荐引用方式
GB/T 7714
Mindawati, N.,Heriansyah, I.,Hiratsuka, M.,et al. Macroeconomic change, competitiveness and timber production: a five-country comparison. 2005.
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