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DP16153 Patterns in IMF Growth Forecast Revisions: A Panel Study at Multiple Horizons 智库出版物
2021
作者:  Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov;  Luca Antonio Ricci;  Alejandro Werner;  Rene Zamarripa
收藏  |  浏览/下载:8/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Economic forecasts  Forecast revisions  Growth forecasts  Weo  
The IMF’s growth forecasts for poor countries do not match its COVID narrative 智库出版物
2020
作者:  Justin Sandefur;  Arvind Subramanian
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Imf  Coronavirus  Covid-19  Growth forecasts  
DP14472 Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them 智库出版物
2020
作者:  Barbara Rossi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Business cycles  Output growth  Great recession  Forecasting  Instabilities  Time variation  inflation  Structural breaks  Density forecasts  Forecast confidence intervals  
The accuracy of long-term growth forecasts by economics researchers 智库出版物
2020
作者:  Masayuki Morikawa
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Economic forecasts  Forecasting  Japan  Macroeconomics  Economic growth  Research  inflation  forecasts  Global crisis  
DP13746 Comparing Forecasting Performance with Panel Data 智库出版物
2019
作者:  Henry Allan Timmermann;  Yinchu Zhu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Economic forecasting  Panel data  Gdp growth  Inflation forecasts  
An econophysics perspective of trade liberalisation 智库出版物
2016
作者:  Hideaki Aoyama;  Yuichi Ikeda;  Takayuki Mizuno;  Takaaki Ohnishi;  Tsutomu Watanabe;  Sakamoto Yohei
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Economic growth  Research  inflation  forecasts  
DP10160 A Bayesian MIDAS Approach to Modeling First and Second Moment Dynamics 智库出版物
2014
作者:  Henry Allan Timmermann;  Davide Pettenuzzo
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Bayesian estimation  Gdp growth  Midas regressions  Out-of-sample forecasts  stochastic volatility