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DP17035 Sequential Monte Carlo With Model Tempering 智库出版物
2022
作者:  Marko Mlikota;  Frank Schorfheide
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Bayesian computations  Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models  Sequential monte carlo  stochastic volatility  Vector autoregressions  
DP16555 Exchange Rate Disconnect and the General Equilibrium Puzzle 智库出版物
2021
作者:  Yu-chin Chen;  Ippei Fujiwara;  Yasuo Hirose
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
exchange rate  risk premium  international risk sharing  stochastic volatility  nonlinear estimation  
DP16346 Using Time-Varying Volatility for Identification in Vector Autoregressions: An Application to Endogenous Uncertainty 智库出版物
2021
作者:  Massimiliano Marcellino;  Andrea Carriero;  Todd Clark
收藏  |  浏览/下载:4/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Endogeneity  Causality  stochastic volatility  Bayesian methods  
DP16065 Uncertainty in the Analytic Climate Economy 智库出版物
2021
作者:  Christian Traeger
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Climate change  Integrated assessment  Uncertainty  Risk aversion  Social cost of carbon  Damages  adaptation  Long-run risk  Endogenous risk  stochastic volatility  
DP15964 Addressing COVID-19 Outliers in BVARs with Stochastic Volatility 智库出版物
2021
作者:  Massimiliano Marcellino;  Todd Clark;  Andrea Carriero;  Elmar Mertens
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Bayesian vars  stochastic volatility  Outliers  Pandemics  forecasts  
DP15965 Measuring Uncertainty and Its Effects in the COVID-19 Era 智库出版物
2021
作者:  Massimiliano Marcellino;  Andrea Carriero;  Todd Clark;  Elmar Mertens
收藏  |  浏览/下载:1/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Bayesian vars  stochastic volatility  Pandemics  
DP15894 The Transmission Channels of Government Spending Uncertainty 智库出版物
2021
作者:  Beliansk Anna;  Aurélien Eyquem;  Céline Poilly
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Government spending uncertainty  stochastic volatility  Portfolio adjustment cost  
DP15692 Macroeconomic Uncertainty and Vector Autoregressions 智库出版物
2021
作者:  Mario Forni;  Luca Gambetti;  Luca Sala
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Uncertainty shocks  Var models  Ols estimation  stochastic volatility  
DP14660 Interest Rate Uncertainty as a Policy Tool 智库出版物
2020
作者:  Fabio Ghironi;  Galip Ozhan
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
International financial policy  stochastic volatility  Short-term and long-term capital movements  Unconventional monetary policy  
DP14580 Energy Markets and Global Economic Conditions 智库出版物
2020
作者:  Christiane Baumeister;  Dimitris Korobilis;  Thomas K. Lee
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Energy demand  Forecasting  stochastic volatility  Oil price pressures  Petroleum consumption  State of the world economy