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Words versus deeds: How central banks manage expectations 智库出版物
2020
作者:  Paweł Baranowski;  Wirginia Doryn;  Tomasz Lyziak;  Ewa Stanisławska
收藏  |  浏览/下载:10/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Central banks  inflation  Forecasting  Global crisis  Poland  Central bank communication  Interest rates  Forward guidance  
DP14472 Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them 智库出版物
2020
作者:  Barbara Rossi
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Business cycles  Output growth  Great recession  Forecasting  Instabilities  Time variation  inflation  Structural breaks  Density forecasts  Forecast confidence intervals  
The accuracy of long-term growth forecasts by economics researchers 智库出版物
2020
作者:  Masayuki Morikawa
收藏  |  浏览/下载:6/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Economic forecasts  Forecasting  Japan  Macroeconomics  Economic growth  Research  inflation  forecasts  Global crisis  
DP13746 Comparing Forecasting Performance with Panel Data 智库出版物
2019
作者:  Henry Allan Timmermann;  Yinchu Zhu
收藏  |  浏览/下载:7/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Economic forecasting  Panel data  Gdp growth  Inflation forecasts  
DP13470 The Global Component of Inflation Volatility 智库出版物
2019
作者:  Massimiliano Marcellino;  Andrea Carriero;  Francesco Corsello
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
inflation  Volatility  Global factors  Large datasets  Multivariate autoregressive index models  Reduced rank regressions  Forecasting  
DP11203 Real-Time Forecasting for Monetary Policy Analysis: The Case of Sveriges Riksbank 智库出版物
2016
作者:  Ulf Söderström;  Stefan Laséen
收藏  |  浏览/下载:3/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Real-time forecasting  Forecast evaluation  monetary policy  Inflation targeting  
DP10419 Forecasting Inflation using Survey Expectations and Target Inflation: Evidence for Brazil and Turkey 智库出版物
2015
作者:  Sumru G. Altug;  Cem Çakmaklı
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Inflation forecasting  Inflation targeting  State space models  Survey-based expectation  Term structure of inflation expectations  
Happiness and satisfaction are not everything: Toward wellbeing indices based on stated preference 智库出版物
2015
作者:  Daniel Benjamin;  Samantha Cunningham;  Ori Heffetz;  Miles Kimball;  Nichole Szembrot
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Expectations  Information  Information frictions  Forecasting  Disagreement  Term structure  Us  Output  inflation  Federal funds rate  monetary policy  Monetary policy rules  Federal Reserve  Interest rates  interest-rate smoothing  
DP10168 Window Selection for Out-of-Sample Forecasting with Time-Varying Parameters 智库出版物
2014
作者:  Barbara Rossi;  Atsushi Inoue
收藏  |  浏览/下载:5/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
Forecasting  Gdp growth  inflation  Instabilities  Structural change  
Federal Open Market Committee forecasts: Guesses or guidance? 智库出版物
2012
作者:  Peter Tillmann
收藏  |  浏览/下载:2/0  |  提交时间:2022/09/22
inflation  monetary policy  transparency  Federal Reserve  Forecasting  Federal open market committee