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DP17123 Forecasting with panel data: estimation uncertainty versus parameter heterogeneity 智库出版物
2022
作者:  M. Hashem Pesaran;  Andreas Pick;  Henry Allan Timmermann
收藏  |  浏览/下载：3/0  |  提交时间：2022/09/22
Panel data  Heterogeneity  Forecast evaluation  Forecast combination  Shrinkage  Pooling  
Growth expected to regain traction after winter slowdown: The European Commission's Winter 2022 Economic Forecast 智库出版物
2022
作者:  Joao Leal;  Maarten Verwey;  Przemyslaw Wozniak
收藏  |  浏览/下载：5/0  |  提交时间：2022/09/22
European Commission economic forecast  EU growth  EU GDP  European commission  
From recovery to expansion, amid headwinds: The Commission's Autumn 2021 Forecast 智库出版物
2021
作者:  Oliver Dieckmann;  Maarten Verwey;  Przemyslaw Wozniak
收藏  |  浏览/下载：3/0  |  提交时间：2022/09/22
Covid-19  European Commission economic forecast  Recovery  EU growth  
DP16276 Authorities’ Fiscal Forecasts in Latin America: Are They Optimistic? 智库出版物
2021
作者:  Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov;  Luca Antonio Ricci;  Alejandro Werner;  Rene Zamarripa
收藏  |  浏览/下载：3/0  |  提交时间：2022/09/22
Forecast error  Fiscal balance  Fiscal forecasts  
DP16153 Patterns in IMF Growth Forecast Revisions: A Panel Study at Multiple Horizons 智库出版物
2021
作者:  Metodij Hadzi-Vaskov;  Luca Antonio Ricci;  Alejandro Werner;  Rene Zamarripa
收藏  |  浏览/下载：2/0  |  提交时间：2022/09/22
Economic forecasts  Forecast revisions  Growth forecasts  Weo  
DP16108 Worse Than You Think: Public Debt Forecast Errors in Advanced and Developing Economies 智库出版物
2021
作者:  Julia Estefania Flores;  Davide Furceri;  Siddharth Kothari;  Jonathan D. Ostry
收藏  |  浏览/下载：2/0  |  提交时间：2022/09/22
Public debt  Forecast errors  
DP15217 Comparing Forecast Performance with State Dependence 智库出版物
2020
作者:  Florens Odendahl;  Barbara Rossi;  Tatevik Sekhposyan
收藏  |  浏览/下载：3/0  |  提交时间：2022/09/22
State dependence  Forecast evaluation  Pockets of predictability  
DP15039 Uncertainty and dispersion in professional interest rate forecasts: International evidence and theory 智库出版物
2020
作者:  Alex Cukierman;  Thomas Lustenberger
收藏  |  浏览/下载：1/0  |  提交时间：2022/09/22
Forecast dispersion  Uncertainty  Variability  Private noisy information  Public information  
Temporary layoffs as a measure of firms’ forecast of the future 智库出版物
2020
作者:  Arash Nekoei;  Andrea Weber
收藏  |  浏览/下载：1/0  |  提交时间：2022/09/22
temporary layoff  Covid-19  Forecast  
DP14472 Forecasting in the Presence of Instabilities: How Do We Know Whether Models Predict Well and How to Improve Them 智库出版物
2020
作者:  Barbara Rossi
收藏  |  浏览/下载：2/0  |  提交时间：2022/09/22
Business cycles  Output growth  Great recession  Forecasting  Instabilities  Time variation  inflation  Structural breaks  Density forecasts  Forecast confidence intervals